Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 13.696546 15.465651 17.462467 19.900867 22.822220 26.240549 30.588965
2025-06-29 10.838268 12.924775 15.465977 18.842424 23.294874 29.090849 37.426108
2025-07-06 9.282553 11.459782 14.245012 18.160797 23.681143 31.447380 43.720837
2025-07-13 9.141603 11.697017 15.138793 20.281915 28.093965 40.122303 61.457997
2025-07-20 8.596465 11.292659 15.066002 20.973855 30.491768 46.273868 77.209531
2025-07-27 7.817871 10.461644 14.263787 20.421374 30.784902 48.972381 87.588779
2025-08-03 7.468926 10.201014 14.251210 21.066797 33.134140 55.795975 108.952013
2025-08-10 6.956413 9.644122 13.718694 20.775183 33.763430 59.491519 124.993663
2025-08-17 6.514618 9.153067 13.234269 20.489800 34.333869 63.183798 142.828754
2025-08-24 6.156105 8.759427 12.864236 20.348453 35.142070 67.581693 165.041950
2025-08-31 5.770538 8.293275 12.332067 19.846908 35.134947 70.112399 183.176871
2025-09-07 5.503612 7.996946 12.056343 19.782468 36.020807 75.040559 212.757727
2025-09-14 5.093247 7.454895 11.343325 18.857887 35.006876 75.160322 226.157189
2025-09-21 4.707644 6.932293 10.629509 17.866392 33.713711 74.288075 235.643973
2025-09-28 4.414090 6.544761 10.123609 17.232052 33.140125 75.294143 254.650559
2025-10-05 4.532210 6.853149 10.872750 19.205303 39.100769 97.704490 409.227101
2025-10-12 4.448555 6.808696 10.974793 19.847858 41.943293 111.852766 550.076591
2025-10-19 4.222750 6.502185 10.564306 19.334854 41.650242 114.958757 618.755700
2025-10-26 4.150170 6.461310 10.652603 19.934125 44.525694 131.386693 852.833927
2025-11-02 3.980915 6.237469 10.371564 19.663422 44.883324 138.003887 1014.141064
2025-11-09 3.824302 6.028240 10.104946 19.398410 45.215479 144.789274 1211.668496
2025-11-16 3.692741 5.857899 9.903800 19.267117 45.937230 153.855151 1500.669588
2025-11-23 3.534827 5.631516 9.576604 18.801059 45.532846 157.407842 1722.044032